Each generation of AI models moves from a stochastic toy toward a controllable framework. That's not disappointment; it's when the technology becomes fit for real work inside a process.
AI capabilities aren't overestimated; the way firms expect to convert them is. The parameter arms race benefits superstars, while profit remains in ordinary processes.
System failure, process failure, human error: your risk register has three columns. Agents add a fourth: the error that arrives through normal operation. What's your entropy budget?